Gray TV poll: Manchin leads Morrisey by eight percentage points

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WASHINGTON (Gray DC) -- Gray Television released the results of a new poll Monday. The polling company asked likely voters (based on voting history) in West Virginia how they feel about President Donald Trump, U.S. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, West Virginia Governor Jim Justice, the U.S. Senate race in West Virginia, and several national issues, including coal production.

You can read the full document with the poll results here.

Manchin vs. Morrisey

In the race for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia, Sen. Joe Manchin (D) has 46 percent of the support, and West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey (R) has 38 percent. Three percent expressed support for Rusty Hollen, and 13 percent chose "don't know" or "refuse" as an answer.

Specifically, Manchin is viewed favorably by 46 percent of likely voters and unfavorably by 33 percent. Fifteen percent expressed a neutral opinion, and five percent say they are unfamiliar with the candidate.

Morrisey is viewed favorably by 34 percent of likely voters and unfavorably by 44 percent. Fifteen percent expressed a neutral opinion, and seven percent say they are unfamiliar with the candidate.

For a breakdown of how people voted based on their age, gender, income, etc., visit pages 3, 4 and 5 of this document.

When voters were asked about Congress in general, West Virginians unsurprisingly leaned Republican. Forty-six percent of voters prefer the generic Republican candidate over 37 percent for the generic Democratic candidate. For a breakdown of how people voted based on their age, gender, income, etc., visit page 2 of this document.

Presidential approval rating

Overall, 62 percent of West Virginia voters approve of how President Donald Trump is doing in office. Thirty-four percent disapprove.

For a breakdown of how people voted based on their age, gender, income, etc., visit page 6 of this document.

Gubernatorial approval rating

West Virginia Governor Jim Justice has an approval rating of 56 percent and a disapproval rating of 33 percent.

For a breakdown of how people voted based on their age, gender, income, etc., visit page 5 of this document.

National issues

When asked about national issues that are most important to West Virginia voters, people most frequently said healthcare. Twenty percent of voters chose that issue. That's followed by the economy and jobs at 14 percent; immigration and border security at 12 percent; U.S. Supreme Court nomination of Brett Kavanaugh at 12 percent; Russian collusion or removing President Trump from office at eight percent; gun rights and gun control at seven percent; national security, terrorism and foreign policy at seven percent; social issues at six percent; taxes, government spending and national debt at five percent; coal, coal policy and coal jobs at four percent; "none" at two percent; U.S. trade policy and tariffs at one percent; and finally, "other" at one percent.

For a breakdown of how people voted based on their age, gender, income, etc., visit page 2 of this document.

Brett Kavanaugh

When asked about U.S. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, 54 percent of West Virginia voters support the nomination. Twenty-seven percent express opposition. Nineteen percent said they do not know or do not have an opinion.

According to the pollsters, "The poll was conducted during the recent disclosure that Kavanaugh may have engaged in sexual misconduct while in high school and college, but before the September 27 testimony by Kavanaugh and on of his accusers before the Senate Judiciary Committee."

For a breakdown of how people voted based on their age, gender, income, etc., visit page 6 of this document.

Coal production

When asked how important increasing coal production is to the West Virginia economy, 61 percent said it was extremely important, 22 percent said it was somewhat important, nine percent said it was not very important, five percent said it was not at all important, and three percent said they didn't know or had no opinion.

For a breakdown of how people voted based on their age, gender, income, etc., visit page 7 of this document.

About the polling process

A total of 650 likely voters were surveyed by Strategic Research Associates, LLC -- a company based in Austin, Texas. The margin of error for the complete sample is +/- 3.84 percentage points, with higher margins of error for any sub-group.

The likely voters were surveyed between Sept. 17-26 of 2018. "Determination of the likely voter sample was based on past vote history. Forty-nine percent of calls were completed on a landline telephone, 51% were completed over a cellular telephone. The final results are weighted based on analysis of the state voter file," said the pollsters.



 
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