Cramer increases lead in new Gray TV North Dakota poll

WASHINGTON (Gray DC) -- The man looking to unseat Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.) is increasing his lead. That's according to a new Gray Television poll released Monday, which shows that 56 percent of likely North Dakota voters support Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.), while 40 percent support Heitkamp. In our last Gray TV poll in September, Cramer led Heitkamp 51 to 41 percent.

For those who support Cramer, 65 percent say their support is "very strong" and that they have decided their vote. Eighteen percent answered their support was "strong" and probably won't change their vote. Eight percent answered their support was "somewhat strong" and they might still change their vote, while nine percent say their support was "not too strong" and will probably change their vote.

For those who support Heitkamp, 69 percent say their support is "very strong." Twenty-six percent say it's "strong" and probably wont' change their vote. Five percent answered their support is "somewhat strong," but might still change their vote. No one answered "not too strong."

The new poll still puts Republican Kelly Armstrong ahead of Democrat Mac Schneider for the at large U.S. House seat. Fifty-six percent say they support Armstrong, while 35 percent support Schneider. In our September poll, Armstrong led Schneider 55 to 31 percent.

When asked what national issues are most important, most respondents say health care is number-one. That's followed by immigration and border security, the economy and jobs, and the U.S. Supreme Court nomination of Brett Kavanaugh. In our last poll, voters listed Kavanaugh as most important, and health care came in second.

You can read the full poll results here.

About the poll

The poll was conducted by Strategic Research Associates, LLC, based in Austin, Texas. A total of 650 likely voters were surveyed between October 12-19, 2018. Determination of the likely voter sample was based on past vote history. Respondents were contacted by live interviewers, with 50% of calls completed on a landline telephone and 50% completed over a cellular telephone. The final results are weighted based on analysis of available electoral and commercial data. The margin of error for the complete sample is +/- 3.84 percentage points, with higher margins of error for any sub-group.