Gray TV poll: Cramer leads Heitkamp by ten percentage points

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WASHINGTON (Gray DC) -- Gray Television has teamed up with Strategic Research Associates, LLC to conduct a survey of the issues and candidates North Dakotans are following in the upcoming midterm election.

We start with the latest numbers for the race for Senate. According to the poll of 650 likely voters, Republican challenger Rep. Kevin Cramer leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp by ten percentage points; 51 percent to 41 percent. Eight percent have yet to make up their mind.

The pollsters also asked voters about U.S. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. Sixty percent of voters in North Dakota support Kavanaugh with 27 percent expressing opposition. The poll was conducted during the recent disclosure that Kavanaugh may have engaged in sexual misconduct while in high school and college, but before the Sept. 27 testimony by Kavanaugh and one of his accusers before the Senate Judiciary Committee.

On national issues, 21 percent of North Dakota voters name Kavanaugh as their biggest issue. That's followed by health care at 13 percent; 12 percent think immigration-border security is the most important issue; the economy and jobs is at ten percent; national security at 9 percent; taxes at 8 percent; trade and tariffs and Russian collusion are tied at 7 percent each; social issues at 6 percent; and gun control and at 4 percent. Four percent listed none of the above as their most important issue.

About the poll

The poll was conducted by Strategic Research Associates, LLC, of Austin, Texas. A total of 650 likely voters were surveyed between September 17-27, 2018. Determination of the likely voter sample was based on past vote history. Forty-seven percent of calls were completed on a landline telephone, 53% were completed over a cellular telephone. The final results are weighted based on analysis of available electoral and commercial data. The margin of error for the complete sample is +/- 3.84 percentage points, with higher margins of error for any sub-group.

To read the entire poll, click here .